Luca Colnaghi

Luca Colnaghi is a professional bike-rider from Italy. Luca Colnaghi is contracted at Bardiani CSF 7 Saber and was born on January 14 1999. Luca Colnaghi weighs 63 kg and is 171 cm long. More info on Luca Colnaghi will be avaialbe soon. Please take look at the skills of Luca Colnaghi at the rider-card at this page, those will be updated daily.

Current scores of Luca Colnaghi

We keep track of all indicator-scores of Luca Colnaghi (and all other pro-riders) based on results in UCI-races in the past 3 years. Stats are updated every day in order to provide up-to-date scores. It gives you the possibility to check current rider-specialties of all riders. Here you can find the scores of Luca Colnaghi.

• Luca Colnaghi has an average strength of 54 points.
• Colnaghi scores 20 points on riding on cobbles.
• Luca Colnaghi scores 43 points on hills.
• Colnaghi gets 32 points on mountains.
• Luca Colnaghi has 31 points on riding General Classifications.
• Colnaghi is ranked at 20 points in time trial.
• Luca Colnaghi scores 62 points on sprinting.
• Colnaghi gets 43 points on riding on the flat.
• Luca Colnaghi indicates 76 points on doing a leadout.
• Colnaghi gained 50 points on riding one-day races.
• Luca Colnaghi has 20 points on racing prologues.
• Colnaghi gets a score of 20 points on riding short time-trials.
• Luca Colnaghi scores 20 points on riding long time-trials.

About CyclingOracle

CyclingOracle is created by six cycling-addicts who found each other in their shared passion for cycling. Tom Nederend (@TomNederend), Arjan Zoer (@ZoerCyclingStat), Daniël Herbers (@StatsOnCycling), Thomas Zwetsloot (@zwetmas), Fleur Kok (@fleurrkok) and Stef van Zon (@stefvanzon) invest a lot of their free time in making content for the website and developing the computer algorithm predicting professional cycling races.

Computer-model of CyclingOracle

Arjan Zoer is the mastermind behind the smart computer-algorithm. Arjan developed the model and is working on improvements of the model on a daily basis. We will not share the depths of the model publically, but can give some insight in how it works. The model is based on results of riders in the past 3 seasons in which more recent results have a larger impact on the outcome. The model runs for every male and female rider in all UCI-races. That’s a lot of data. The result of race, combined with the profile, quality of the startlist and the UCI-classification of the race, determines on which skills a rider gets ‘points’. Riders score points between 20 and 100 on 13 different skills (categories), being: spring, flat, mountain, hills, time-trial, ITT-long, ITT- short, prologue, cobbles, leadout, GC, one-day races and stage-races. In addition, a rider gets points for his current shape (good results in recent races).

Some examples:

• A rider wins a bunch sprint in Tour de Rwanda. He gets points awarded for ‘flat’ and ‘sprint’, but these points will make less of a difference compared to a bunch sprint-victory in Tour de France given the UCI-classification of the race (2.1) and weak field of participants.
• A rider wins a bunch sprint in Giro d’Italia and his teammates get rewarded points for ‘leadout. If teammates of a sprinter have a lot of leadout-points, the computer lifts the chances of a sprinter to win a flat race which is likely to result in a bunch sprint. Team-quality is part of the model.
• A rider solos to victory in Ronde van Vlaanderen: the rider gets rewarded a mix of points on skills like ‘cobbles’, ‘hills’, ‘one-day races’ and ‘time-trial’.
• A rider wins the sprint of a small-group at a summit-finish of Alpe d’Huez. He gets points for ‘mountain’, but also for ‘sprint’ and ‘stage-races’. Moreover, these points will weigh heavily on a rider’s shape or form in order to predict future results in the same race better.

All these skills will be used to predicted a cycling-race. Depending on the profile and field of participants, the computer predicts the most likely winner. The probability a certain rider will win the race is called ‘Expected Win’.

How to find CyclingOracle

Follow us on X (@wielerorakel) to stay up to date with new updates, podcast episodes, predictions, and statistics. On Instagram (@cyclingoracle) we share not only predictions but also rising stars, Team of the Month features, and interviews with riders.

In the WielerOrakel Podcast, cycling fanatics Tom and Thomas get excited about the races, joined by guest appearances from data brain Arjan and stats wizard Daniël, as they provide context to the computer’s predictions.

Cycling Oracle Cycling Quiz

Every year the Cycling Oracle Cycling Quiz is organised in Café Scheltema in Leiden (NL). Cycling-lovers from several countries gather to fight fort he Challenge Cup and several other prizes. Follow us on Twitter to know more about the quiz.

Collaboration

For sponsorship or other collaboration opportunities, you can email [email protected]